Obama and Huckabee?

kittycatintx1961 wrote:

Obama and Huckabee?

That's what it looked like all day today. The last poll I saw, however, Romney was really close to Huckabee. 'The Tonight Show' will give one of them a boost... depending on how the MSM decides to view Huckabee's appearance. Hillary opened for Letterman tonight, so that might boost her a bit, but Obama does have a lead over the margin or error and Kucinich could push him over the top.

Edwards and Romney is what I believe. I know, Obama seems to have a higher chance, but he has a lot of undecided voters. Edwards has done this before and it's easier for the people who voted for him once to just go and vote again. I say Romney because I don't like Huckabee [even though he's had the bump] and if Huckabee wins this one, he will get a big push.

I'm more looking forward to New Hampshire though where it's almost decided that McCain will win and he should get a push from that.

Dems
1. Obama
2. Edwards
3. Clinton (she is nobodys second choice)

Pubs
1. Romney
2. Huckabee
3. McCain

Bear wrote:

Dems 1. Obama 2. Edwards 3. Clinton (she is nobodys second choice) Pubs 1. Romney 2. Huckabee 3. McCain

Demcratic
1.Edwards
2.Hillary
3.Obama

Republican
1.Huckabee
2.McCain
3.Paul

On the Dem side, they always over estimate the youth vote, especially with that crazy caucus system, so I think Obama will have a disappointing showing. There is also the whole white guy thing for Edwards, sure Kucinich endorsed Obama, but all of the people supporting the other white guys are gonna go to Edwards.

Republicans are gonna be trickier to predict, Huckabee will definitely win, but from there it will be a crapshoot, I'm thinking the GOP base is really tired of slick candidates and will have serious trust issues, so McCain may have a good showing, Paul makes a showing due to sheer intimidation and bloody mindedness of his supporters(I would not be surprised if it turns violent.).



On the

Romney and Huck are numbers 1 and 2 in the polls.

I'm worried that Obama's base won't show up, and I have to wonder whether Huckabee's base will show up either. Only 38% of Huckabee's base has said that they will "definitely support" Huck come caucus day.

If the Obama base doesn't show, it will be Edwards, Clinton, Obama. But, with the democrats system in Iowa, strange things are bound to happen.

Huckabee and Edwards

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You guys know who you are though!

McCain is worried that Paul will be third. The latest Zogby poll shows him polling at 10%. That is statistically tied with McCain (10%) and Thompson (11%).

Seems the battle for third will be determined by who has the better GOTV campaign. I think that is something easily achievable for Paul, considering his fervent (and incredibly annoying) supporters.

Clinton, Obama and Huckabee, Romney ahead of the pack so far.

NBC News calls Huckabee as Republican winner.

Edwards, Clinton, Obama all around 32-33% so far.

Bill Richardson 2%
Joe Biden 1%

Huckabee stomped. WOW.

That was something I didn't see coming.

Isn't Huckabee the only Republican presidential candidate to appear on TCR? Is this the Colbert bump?! Stephen called it! Woohoo!

NBC projects Obama to be the Democratic winner.
1 Obama
2 Edwards
3 Clinton

page being continually updated...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/

Quote:

Giuliani Shrugs Off Iowa with 9/11 Reference James Joyner | Friday, January 4, 2008 Rudy Giuliani isn’t worried about an embarrassing fifth sixth place finish in Iowa with a poor finish in New Hampshire looming — he was there on 9/11, damn it! He flatlined in Iowa and he’s struggling in New Hampshire, but Rudy Giuliani shook off the early-state blues Thursday as only he can. “None of this worries me - Sept. 11, there were times I was worried,” Giuliani said. “We’re sitting in a pretty good position right now. So we’re not worried and not concerned,” he told a news conference here. “Maybe other people acted nervous in a situation like this, but this is not unexpected.” Pardon me for not swooning. It’s true, of course, the Giuliani eschewed campaigning in Iowa in favor of a “big state strategy.” So far, that’s not looking so good in the polls but time will tell soon enough. But John McCain and Fred Thompson largely skipped the Hawkeye State, too, and managed respectable totals. Giuliani, meanwhile, barely edged out Duncan Hunter and saw his vote trebled by Ron Paul. But, please, it’s simply unseemly to keep invoking the 9/11 attacks for even the most trivial matters. As Steven Taylor observes, “Giuliani is starting to sound like a senile old war veterans who can only talk about the day he had to jump out of flaming bomber while Japanese Zeros tried to shoot him from the sky.” Of course, grandpa at least had to undertake personal risk for that story; Giuliani just walked around in a suit. He and Sully employ the obvious Joe Biden reference. Biden might be out of the race much sooner than the target of his barb but it remains the best line of the campaign to date.

http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/giuliani_shrugs_off_iowa_with_911_reference/